Hey Tom, I just read Howard's wrap-up of the Expert League draft. Is he really as crazy as he sounds? Borat is gonna stop at 40 million? Eragon is a bomb? What is he smoking?  - T.H.

T.H.: Howard is...how should I put this? Eccentric? Erratic? Error-prone? Perhaps all of the above. The thing is, he's got a strong opinion about everything and damn if he isn't usually right 70% of the time. As far as Borat goes, I am starting to think that film's got "phenomenon" written all over it. To quote one columnist of another site: "test screenings are resembling revival tents." The guy could not be getting better free press. I feel that he's being severely underestimated. That said, rated-R comedies often have a tough go of it, and their ceiling usually does kick in at or around 100 million. Personally, I'm gonna bet the over.

Eragon...ooh. That's tougher. I gotta fess up and say I hated the book. It doesn't exactly look original either. But it doesn't look like Dungeons and Dragons either. It was a serious bestseller, it has the right release date, and it follows in the footsteps of Narnia and Potter. I am guessing at worst it is this year's Patch Addams: a movie nobody seemed to like very much but still made 100 million.

Tom, I am looking at this Expert draft and I can't figure out who did good and who did bad. How are you supposed to tell? - G.R.

G.R.: I do not know for sure who did good and who did bad. There is no way to tell...for sure. However, allow me to make some educated guesses. My first prediction will be for last place. I predict that honor will go to Jenn Sterger. She violated a couple of my core rules for playing this game. She focused too much on just a couple genres and she completely ignored review average. I think she is a lock to come in dead last in that category and that usually will knock you right out of the money.

First place, as I see it, is Dead Spin's to lose. They've got good box office from Night at the Museum, while The Good German, Blood Diamond and For Your Consideration are as good a PTA and review trio as you can get, and even Mr. Woodcock looks like it has serious January potential. It is a balanced slate aiming squarely at all four categories. That is the formula for victory.

Tom, what's the best four-category film this season? The Good German? Dreamgirls? Blood Diamond? - D.R.

D.R.: Aah, the oh so elusive four-category film. Many have gone in search of it. So few have bagged it. Okay, first let's dispose of your guesses. The Good German: Soderberg, Clooney, sounds like a lock, right? Well, it is in black and white. And it is pretty serious stuff. I give it a 75% chance of four category gold. Dreamgirls? I am one of those heterosexual guys who actually likes musicals, so you really shouldn't ask me. What I will say is that winter musicals have a pretty good track record of late and the talent in this picture certainly seems to indicate good things. 80%. Blood Diamond? I put it in the category of Babel: probably great movies that are too depressing to achieve true four-category status. 40%. So is there anything out there that I think has a better chance than Dreamgirls? Actually, yes. Charlotte's Web. I put it at 85%. The only question mark is the PTA since a lot of kids admissions will drag this number down. But I think Charlotte's will be more like Narnia, dragging the older crowd to see it in large enough numbers to give it a fighting PTA chance.

So, that's it for this week. Keep the emails coming, good luck drafting, and get thee to a theater, people! There's a lot of good stuff out there!

Thomas Dean Donnelly was voted the Most Hygienic Left-Hander in the WGA, narrowly beating out Aaron Sorkin. He was also runner up in the Best Baritone and Least-Likely-To-Vomit-From-Liquor categories. You should check out the WGA awards sometime. They're quite comprehensive. You can email your questions to Thomas@fantasymoguls.com.