• Insider Videos
    • IMDB Trailers

    • Last Weekend
    • Year-To-Date
    • Projections

    • Release Schedule
    • Projections

    • Analysis
    • Weekly Tracking
    • Reviews
    • Message Boards

    • Box Office Moguls
    • Ultimate Movie Moguls
    • Weekend Over/Under

My Studios

Featured Columnist

Indie Jones
Indie Jones is not an archaeologist and adventurer, although he would certainly love to be. He lives in Paris, a city that not only shelters rat chefs, but is reputed for offering the richest film programming on the planet. And so he goes, an avid reader and self-declared film addict, haunting theaters, searching for the next cinematic treasure, be it European, American, Asian, African, or maybe one day, who knows, extraterrestrial.
More from Indie Jones

Featured Columnist

Shrykespeare
Shrykespeare is a native Arizonan, one of the few who actually has the nerve to admit it. He is a movie, TV and sports junkie, who occasionally finds time to spend with his tolerant but exasperated wife. His talents include witty banter, golf, Scrabble, and reciting Monty Python and The Holy Grail from memory. His role models are Homer Simpson and Al Bundy, and he vows to make the world a better, lovelier, happier place as soon as those damn Powerball numbers come in.
More from Shrykespeare

Featured Columnist

Howard Roark
The person hiding behind the Howard Roark moniker is an industry veteran who will refrain from listing his credits and accomplishments as it would negate the use of the Howard Roark moniker. Just accept that he thinks he knows more than you. In the words of Kazunori Nozawa: Trust me!

More from Howard Roark

Featured Columnist

Lee Farber
Lee Farber is currently a writer for "The Soup" on the E! channel. Before that, he wrote on "The Wayne Brady Show" and won an Emmy. It's shiny and pointy and looks great when worn around the neck. He is putting together his first feature, "The Yentas of Sunrise Lakes", about old ladies in Florida, because he knows what the public wants. Lee lives in Los Angeles with his wife and his collection of bootleg CDs.

More from Lee Farber

Featured Columnist

Ronald Banks
Ronald Banks lives in the heart of Hollywood where his hobbies are going to the movies, renting movies, and buying movies on DVD. If you see him in the theater, please remember - there is no talking during the film.

More from Ronald Banks

Featured Columnist

Thomas Donnelly
Thomas Dean Donnelly is the screenwriter responsible for 2005's Sahara and A Sound of Thunder, as well as other films. There is nary a studio he hasn't worked for nor an agency he has not been represented at. In his spare time, he designs games, like the one you are playing right now.

More from Thomas Donnelly

Featured Columnist

Whiting Tattoon
Whiting has been intimately involved with no less than twelve Academy and Golden Globe nominated and/or winning films. He has worked for talent, production companies and studios, in capacities ranging from PA to editing to marketing executive to screenwriter. He is an unabashed lover of cinema, a student of the art form and prone to seizure-like moments of clarity.

More from Whiting Tattoon

Featured Columnist

Dmitry Portnoy
Dmitry Portnoy has watched more than 100 movies a year since he was three. And so have you.

More from Dmitry Portnoy

Featured Analyst

Steve Mason
Steve Mason is a Los Angeles-based talk show host for 710 ESPN Radio. He has previously hosted the nationally-syndicated "The Late, Late Radio Show with Tom Snyder & Steve Mason" for CBS Radio and worked the last five Olympic Games for NBC and Westwood One Radio Network. He is also President of Flagship Theatres which owns the University Village Theatres near downtown Los Angeles and Cinemas Palme d'Or in Palm Desert, California.

More from Steve Mason

Featured Columnist

Mike Ogle

More from Mike Ogle

Featured Columnist

Nicodemus
Noted sage and mystic Nicodemus, a reputed cyber-scavenger and data carrier, recently escaped from the National Institute of Mental Health. He spends his hours scuttling amongst the pipes running directly beneath the Information Superhighway, collecting scraps of knowledge and overlooked treasures that fall, unnoticed, through cracks and gratings from the world above. He also writes in characters of magic fire and, on occasion, he really, really likes a nice hunk of moldy cheese.

More from Nicodemus

Featured Columnist

Mister Informative
Mister Informative is a college student from Appleton, Wis. He is a staff leader/projectionist for Carmike Cinemas, a national theater chain headquartered in Columbus, Ga., and is a big fan of the new DLP digital cinema technology. He's also been an associate architect of award-winning, in-lobby promotional displays for Over the Hedge and Talladega Nights. Upon discovering Fantasy Moguls, he promptly joined a league with his co-workers -- and that's where the fun began!

More from Mr. Informative
Now Playing

Recent Posts

Shrykespeare: BARD'S EYE VIEW: Maybe Somewhere Down the Road a Ways / You'll Think of Me and Wonder Where I Am These Days - November 28

Indie Jones: DANCES WITH THE ARTHOUSE: All Good Things ... - November 28

Mister Informative: TIP OF THE WEEK: Giving Thanks for Movies and Farewell to Fantasy Moguls - November 26

Steve Mason: FINAL WEEKEND TRACKING: 'Four Christmases' Likely Winner w/$38.5M for 5-Day; 'Twilight' Next in Line w/$30.7M; 'Bolt' Potentially at No. 3, Followed by 'Transporter 3' at $26.8M and 'Australia' at $24M! - November 25

Shrykespeare: BARD'S EYE VIEW: Jumbo Jim Tangles with Big Willy on the Weekend Before Christmas - November 25

More Advice & Analysis

Archives

November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
More Archives
Subscribe:
RSS
Bloglines
Google
Yahoo
MSN

Advice & Analysis: Weekly Tracking

Advice & Analysis: Reviews

February 29, 2008

DANCES WITH THE ARTHOUSE: It's OK to Snooze on 'Sleepwalking,' but You May Want to Play 'Games' with Naomi Watts

by Indie Jones

Hello to you all, and welcome to the latest Dances with the Arthouse. Now, I know we're still in the midst of post-Oscars reflections like, "Maybe it's time I catch There Will Be Blood," or "I didn't think No Country For Old Men was THAT good," or even "Into the Wild and The Assassination of Jesse James should have gotten waaaay more recognition." Some of you probably feared that I might start showing off with some chauvinistic exclamations following Marion Cotillard's Oscar ... but I won't give you that pleasure. (Maybe if I thought La Vie en Rose was a great film — but I don't). It's interesting, though, to note that none of the winners in the acting categories are Americans. British, French, Spanish, that's it.

But there is no time to rest in Fantasy Moguls! Films keep opening, leagues keep moving, so you players should carry on strategizing and spending your money on the good horses. As usual, I am here to humbly help you see clearer in the ocean of limited releases, to help you be less lackadaisical (I love the word) about your arthouse options, and more energic, more ready to conquer the world (well, at least the Fantasy Moguls world). This week, I will be catching up with a March 7 release that popped up in the new season, as well as discussing two 2008 Sundance Film Festival entries opening March 14. And away we go!

I am sure there are many fans of Stephen Chow around these shores. The Chinese comedian/director who exploded on the international scene with Shaolin Soccer, then confirmed his newfound stardom in 2004 with Kung Fu Hustle, is back. Chow's new comedy, CJ7 (March 7), has a high concept, absurd humor, and lots of special effects — everything we like, right?

Chow, an actor in Chinese cinema since the early '80s, has worked less and less frequently in front of the camera these last few years, and more and more often behind it. He's been a writer, a director and lately a producer (he's producing the Dragonball movie). In fact, CJ7 is Chow's first film as director or actor since Kung Fu Hustle in 2004! So admirers of the energetic and comedic talents he flashed in films like From Beijing With Love, as well as Soccer and Hustle, probably can't hardly wait (J-Lo Hewitt reference!) to discover his new project.

CJ7 may surprise some, as it seems clearly more oriented to younger audiences. This is a PG-rated, family-friendly picture, whereas Chow's previous films were more aimed at the 15-35 male crowd. Those viewers should still take notice of Chow's name, but may not rush to see the story of a poor man who offers his kid a strange pet from outer space. CJ7 opened a few weeks ago in China and drew a very large audience, but don't expect its U.S. launch, probably in a dozen or so New York and Los Angeles theaters, to generate the same level of interest the film played to in China.

In late 2004 and early 2005, everyone was talking about Kung Fu Hustle, which opened to $269,000 on just 7 screens. The PTA score was huge, the buzz was higher than the Everest, and the film went on to gross $17 million at the U.S. box office. Don't expect this kind of success for CJ7. At best you're gonna end up with $3-4 million, two or three PTA points, and a User Rating around 7 (most likely just under). Of course, the interesting factor here is that the Sony Pictures Classics release has a very affordable $6 price tag in Ultimate Movie Moguls leagues (it's just $2 in Box Office Moguls, where it's pretty much useless). An honest price.

One film I think Fantasy Moguls is overrating a bit is Sleepwalking (March 14). $17.7 million at the box-office?! Three Top 5 points?!! Allow me to cool down Fantasy Moguls's hype on this particular picture. I'll admit that, on paper, Sleepwalking looks promising, mostly because of its cast: Charlize Theron (also a producer), Woody Harrelson, Dennis Hopper, Nick Stahl, and rising young actress AnnaSophia Robb, who for once is not irritating (she was the heroine of the surprising Bridge to Terabithia).

All those good actors team up for an R-rated drama following a 12-year-old girl, abandoned by her mother, who ends up in the care of her uncle. The uncle decides to go back home with his niece to his rancher father. The film was an official entry at this year's Sundance Film Festival, and if people had  gushed about it in Park City, then maybe one could have envisioned a triumphant release. But there just wasn't much passion for Sleepwalking at Sundance. Sure, the current IMDb User Rating is a glorious 8.2, but with less than 100 votes. More importantly, the reviews out of the festival have been so-so.

For first-time filmmaker Bill Maher, a second unit director on The Chumscrubber (which shares its screenwriter with Sleepwalking), it's still a good start into feature films. But he almost certainly would have had more success with a more experienced and skillful distributor than Overture Films, which took a cold shower a few weeks ago with the disappointing release of Mad Money. In Box Office leagues, don't even think about paying $5 for Sleepwalking.

The film has more of a shot at being a good investment in Ultimate leagues, but one still has to be cautious when grabbing Sleepwalking for $9. I can't picture the film opening wide enough to grab any Top 5 points. Depending on the number of locations on opening weekend (the lower the better), it might collect two or three PTA points, and, although the presently sky-high User Rating might be misleading, the film should still be able to linger in the high 6s at the very least. Bottom line: Watch carefully for the reviews and release pattern before grabbing this one.

If you want to play it risky, take a chance on Funny Games (March 14), Michael Haneke's American remake of his own ... Funny Games, made in his native Austria more than 10 years ago. (Okay, technically he is German-born. But he grew up in Austria. Schwarzy, if you're reading this ... well, no, nothing in fact.) At first, the film was set to be released last October, but Warner Independent decided instead to hold back and dip into the 2008 Sundance Film Festival first. Perhaps to let the buzz build, or maybe because they just felt it would be go unnoticed in the hotly contested fall season.

Anyway here it is, fresh off a number of festival triumphs. Funny Games is most definitely an eagerly awaited film. Why? Well, first of all because Michael Haneke is quite a name in European cinema: An Austrian auteur, well-known for his sulfurous films, not afraid of exhibiting rough violence and crude sex, Haneke is a sort of cinematic cousin of Paul Verhoeven. Benny's Video, Code Unknown, The Piano Teacher and Hidden are some of the films that forged his reputation for controversy, also garnering a few prestigious prizes in film festivals, often at Cannes.

Haneke's original Funny Games, released in 1997, in Austria, caused an uproar because of its shocking violence. More than 10 years later, Haneke took a trip across the Atlantic Ocean and made his first American movie (although still co-produced in Europe), an almost shot-by-shot reenactment of Funny Games. For those who haven't seen the first film, the story follows a family on vacation that's held hostage by two angel-faced, but devilish young men. Brady Corbet and the always excellent Michael Pitt play the two very dangerous psychopaths, while Tim Roth (after his terrific turn in the underrated Youth Without Youth) and Naomi Watts (offering some star power to the film) play the besieged couple.

Haneke's films that arrive in theaters with strong buzz and a lot of curiosity usually end up with strong User Ratings, a few PTA points ... and less than $5 million in total receipts. This time, the allure of seeing Haneke tackle an English language remake, as well as the the glamor factor supplied by Watts, will surely help Funny Games sell more tickets than Haneke's films usually do.

Although I'm not convinced at all the film has what it takes to drive itself to a $19 million take at the box office, I think it could flirt with $10 million. The one Top 5 point Fantasy Moguls is predicting seems unlikely, but Funny Games should have no trouble grabbing 4 PTA points, and a solid User Rating, above 7. It's not a small investment though, as it has been assigned a $14 price tag in Ultimate leagues, and $8 in Box Office. Most definitely risky ... but a tempting risk, I must say.

And ... no, in fact, that's it for this week. A Chinese comedy, an American drama, and Naomi Watts in another remake (The Ring, King Kong), nice program. Next week shouldn't be too bad either, as the Mexican drama Under the Same Moon, and especially the French musical drama Love Songs, will be on the agenda. Spectator relfections of the week: Brian De Palma's Redacted is probably the most powerful film made about the current war in Iraq, while Kenneth Branagh's Sleuth is a stylish and fascinating surprise. Both were unjustly neglected by U.S. moviegoers last year. Chers amis, bonsoir! Personal note: Rico/Nico, all my thoughts are with you in this difficult time.

Indie Jones is preparing to direct a French language, shot-for-shot remake of one of his columns ... just as soon as Naomi Watts's agent starts returning his phone calls. Fantasy Moguls predicts two Top 5 points, four or five PTA point, and a User Rating in the 7-8 range. Tell Indie how much you'd pay to have that on your slate at danceswiththearthouse@gmail.com.

Share:  Newsvine Facebook Digg! del.ici.ous

Posted at 08:01 AM in Advice and Analysis, Dances With the Arthouse, Indie Jones | Permalink

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341bfcb653ef00e550a0cbb88834

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference DANCES WITH THE ARTHOUSE: It's OK to Snooze on 'Sleepwalking,' but You May Want to Play 'Games' with Naomi Watts:

Comments

Post a comment

If you have a TypeKey or TypePad account, please Sign In.

You are currently signed in as (nobody). Sign Out

© 2007 Atomic Moguls, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
About Fantasy Moguls | Contact | Support FAQ | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service