WEEKEND ESTIMATES: '10,000 B.C.' Thunders to $34.5M 3-Day; 'College Road Trip' Motors to $13.6M; 'Bank Job' at No. 4 w/$5.8M; 'Counterfeiters' Tops PTA Scoreboard!
by Steve Mason
SATURDAY NIGHT: Roland Emmerich’s 10,000 B.C. (Warner Bros.) received a better-than-expected 9 percent uptick in Saturday business, delivering an estimated $13.62 million. Many were looking for a Friday-to-Saturday dip in ticket sales, but the badly-reviewed prehistoric epic wasn't especially front-loaded. With an anticipated 38 percent drop on Sunday, 10,000 B.C. should rake in another $8.44 million or so for a three-day take of $34.57 million.
That opening weekend is about half of what last year's 300
grabbed, which is certainly a disappointment for Warner Bros. The
scathing reviews and almost certain bad word-of-mouth will make it nigh impossible for 10,000 B.C. to develop "legs." In fact, I expect the film to drop at least 60 percent next weekend.
Undoubtedly fueled by Raven-Symone-loving tweens, College Road Trip (Disney) surged 81 percent for a $6.33 million Saturday. The latest Martin Lawrence film should finish the weekend with about $13.63 million. Sony's Vantage Point
added another $3.32 million on Saturday, and the assassination thriller will
likely wrap up the weekend with an estimated $7.29 million. The
tepidly-reviewed film will have banked $51.4 million by Monday Morning.
The Bank Job
(Lionsgate), starring action mainstay Jason Statham, finished a
surprise fourth on Saturday with $2.46 million, and it'll wind up No. 4 for the
weekend as well, narrowly topping New Line's fast-fading Semi-Pro $5.84 million-$5.64 million. Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day
(Focus) picked up $1.07 million on its second day, and it's headed for a nifty
$2.55 million for the three-day, a $4,744 per theatre average. Still, that's not
enough to crack the Top 5 PTA performers.
The Counterfeiters (Sony Classics), the Oscar winner for Best Foreign Language Film, will finish the weekend with an estimated $12,833 PTA. 10,000 B.C. will post the second-best weekend per theater tally with just over $10,000. Warner Independent's Snow Angels with $6,104, Gus Van Sant's Paranoid Park (IFC Films) with $5,366 and Sony Classics offering The Band's Visit with $5,089 will likely round out the three-day PTA Top 5.
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY SATURDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW 10,000 B.C. (Warner Bros.) — $13.62 million, $3,996 PTA, $26.12 million cume
2. NEW College Road Trip (Disney) — $6.33 million, $2,341 PTA, $9.83 million cume
3. Vantage Point (Sony) — $3.32 million, $1,050 PTA, $49.7 million cume
4. NEW The Bank Job (Lionsgate), $2.46 million, $1,539 PTA, $4.19 million cume
5. Semi-Pro (New Line) — $2.4 million, $771 PTA, $23.1 million cume
6. The Spiderwick Chronicles (Paramount) — $2.21 million, $682 PTA, $60.2 million cume
7. The Other Boleyn Girl (Sony) — $1.66 million, $1,425 PTA, $13.5 million cume
8. Jumper (20th Century Fox) — $1.66 million, $648 PTA, $71.5 million cume
9. Step Up 2 the Streets (Disney) — $1.43 million, $637 PTA, $52.4 million cume
10. Fool's Gold (Warner Bros.) — $1.29 million, $556 PTA, $62.1 million cume
11. NEW Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day (Focus) — $1.07 million, $2,015 PTA, $1.77 million cume
12. Penelope (Summit) — $992,000, $822 PTA, $6.2 million cume
13. Juno (Fox Searchlight) — $985,000, $730 PTA, $137.5 million cume
14. No Country For Old Men (Miramax) — $820,000, $683 PTA, $72.3M
15. Definitely, Maybe (Universal) — $800,000, $514 PTA, $29 million cume
* There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) — $321,000, $499 PTA, $38.5 million cume
* In Bruges (Focus) — $265,000, $1,178 PTA, $4.4 million cume
* The Counterfeiters (Sony Classics) — $140,000, $5,833 PTA, $606,000
* The Band's Visit (Sony Classics) — $115,000, $2,556 PTA, $945,000 cume
* NEW Black & White (Eros) — $22,000, $733 PTA, $31,000 cume
* NEW Married Life (Sony Classics) — $18,000, $2,000 PTA, $29,000 cume
* NEW CJ7 (Sony Classics) — $17,000, $895 PTA, $30,000 cume
* NEW Girls Rock (Shadow Distribution) — $14,000, $2,000 PTA, $23,500 cume
* NEW Paranoid Park (IFC Films) — $4,794, $2,397 PTA, $7,472 cume
* NEW Snow Angels (Warner Independent) — $4,658, $2,329 PTA, $8,854 cume
* NEW Bar Starz (Slowhand Releasing) — $3,844, $87 PTA, $7,540 cume
* NEW Last Stop for Paul (Independent) — $2,044, $1,022 PTA, $4,700 cume
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS REVISED 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW 10,000 B.C. (Warner Bros.) — $34.57 million, $10,139 PTA, $34.57 million cume
2. NEW College Road Trip (Disney) — $13.63 million, $5,039 PTA, $13.63 million cume
3. Vantage Point (Sony) — $7.29 million, $2,307 PTA, $51.4 million cume
4. NEW The Bank Job (Lionsgate), $5.84 million, $3,646 PTA, $5.84 million cume
5. Semi-Pro (New Line) — $5.64 million, $1,810 PTA, $24.5 million cume
6. The Spiderwick Chronicles (Paramount) — $4.75 million, $1,465 PTA, $61.6 million cume
7. The Other Boleyn Girl (Sony) — $3.95 million, $3,393 PTA, $14.5 million cume
8. Jumper (20th Century Fox) — $3.72 million, $1,453 PTA, $72.5 million cume
9. Step Up 2 the Streets (Disney) — $3.22 million, $1,431 PTA, $53.1 million cume
10. Fool's Gold (Warner Bros.) — $2.8M- $1,209 PTA, $62.8 million cume
11. NEW Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day (Focus) — $2.55 million, $4,774 PTA, $2.55M
12. Penelope (Summit) — $2.24 million, $1,862 PTA, $6.8 million cume
13. Juno (Fox Searchlight) — $2.09 million, $1,550 PTA, $138 million cume
14. Definitely, Maybe (Universal) — $1.77 million, $1,138 PTA, $29.4 million cume
15. No Country For Old Men (Miramax) — $1.73 million, $1,441 PTA, $72.7M
* There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) — $695,000, $1,081 PTA, $38.7 million cume
* In Bruges (Focus) — $575,000, $2,556 PTA, $4.6 million cume
* The Counterfeiters (Sony Classics) — $308,000, $12,833 PTA, $704,000
* The Band's Visit (Sony Classics) — $229,000, $5,089 PTA, $1.01 million cume
* NEW Black & White (Eros) — $46,000, $1,533 PTA, $46,000 cume
* NEW CJ7 (Sony Classics) — $41,500, $2,184 PTA, $41,500 cume
* NEW Married Life (Sony Classics) — $41,000, $4,556 PTA, $41,000 cume
* NEW Girls Rock (Shadow Distribution) — $33,000, $4,714 PTA, $33,000 cume
* NEW Snow Angels (Warner Independent) — $12,207, $6,104 PTA, $12,207 cume
* NEW Paranoid Park (IFC Films) — $10,731, $5,366 PTA, $10,731 cume
* NEW Bar Starz (Slowhand Releasing) — $9,731, $221 PTA, $9,731 cume
* NEW The Bank Job (Independent) — $5,842, $2,921 PTA, $5,842 cume
FRIDAY NIGHT: It ain't 300. That's one way to describe the opening day performance of Roland Emmerich's 10,000 B.C. (Warner Bros.). With almost unanimously awful reviews (only 8 percent Fresh on Rotten Tomatoes), the prehistoric epic stumbled out of the gate with a disappointing estimated $11.55 million Friday. That will likely translate to an underwhelming $33.14 million, less than half of the $70.8 million posted by last March's Warner Bros. sensation, directed by Zack Snyder. 10,000 B.C. will also rank behind three previous Emmerich outings.
ALL-TIME TOP 5 ROLAND EMMERICH OPENINGS
1. The Day After Tomorrow — $68.7 million opening
2. Independence Day — $50.2 million opening
3. Godzilla — $44 million opening
4. 10,000 B.C. — $33.14 million opening (Estimated)
5. The Patriot — $22.3 million opening
The No. 2 spot for Friday and the weekend will go to Disney's College Road Trip, starring Martin Lawrence and Raven-Symone, but it's also a disappointment. The G-rated family comedy rode away with $3.5 million on opening day, and even with a decent matinee bounce, it'll likely get no higher than $12.5 million for the three-day.
Sony's Vantage Point is holding strong with an estimated $2.3 million on Friday. By Monday morning, the assassination thriller, which opened on Oscar weekend, will add another $8.1 million for a new cume of $52.2 million. Another former No. 1, hoops holdover Semi-Pro (New Line) is an unmitigated disaster. Despite all of Will Ferrell's best efforts, the '70s-style basketball comedy tumbled to $1.9 million on its second Friday and a likely $6 million weekend. That's down 60 percent from opening weekend, and Semi-Pro's 10-day cume will be only $25 million or so.
The Bank Job (Lionsgate), a new release starring Jason Statham, finished No. 5 on Friday with an estimated $1.6 million, but the heist thriller will probably be knocked down to sixth place for the weekend with about $4.7 million. Meanwhile, Paramount's The Spiderwick Chronicles, after a $1.12 million Friday take, should get a huge weekend bounce for a No. 5 finish at just over $5 million. Focus Features rolled out Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day at 535 locations and scored an estimated $645,000 on Friday, a $1,200 per theatre average. The Amy Adams-Frances McDormand comedy is headed for a $2.35 million weekend haul, just missing the Top 10.
Of the new specialty releases, Warner Independent's Snow Angels has fared best with a Friday PTA of just over $2,000 at two locations. Sony Classics has two new limited releases in the mix. Married Life, starring Chris Cooper, Patricia Clarkson, Pierce Brosnan and Rachel McAdams, opened soft with an $1,165 Friday PTA at nine locations. CJ7, a family film from Hong Kong, opened even softer with an average of $666 on 19 screens. The Counterfeiters (Sony Classics), the Oscar winner for Best Foreign Language Film, continues strong in its expansion. Now on 24 screens, it'll win the weekend PTA battle with about $12,500. 10,000 B.C. will probably be No. 2 on the 3-day PTA scoreboard followed by Snow Angels, Gus Van Sant's Paranoid Park (IFC Films) and Shadow Distribution's Girls Rock.
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW 10,000 B.C. (Warner Bros.) — $11.55 million, $3,387 PTA, $11.55 million cume
2. NEW College Road Trip (Disney) — $3.5 million, $1,293 PTA, $3.5 million cume
3. Vantage Point (Sony) — $2.3 million, $727 PTA, $46.4 million cume
4. Semi-Pro (New Line) — $1.9 million, $609 PTA, $20.8 million cume
5. NEW The Bank Job (Lionsgate), $1.6 million, $998 PTA, $1.6 million cume
6. The Other Boleyn Girl (Sony) — $1.24 million, $1,068 PTA, $11.8 million cume
7. The Spiderwick Chronicles (Paramount) — $1.12 million, $347 PTA, $58 million cume
8. Jumper (20th Century Fox) — $1.1 million, $431 PTA, $69.8 million cume
9. Step Up 2 the Streets (Disney) — $995,000, $442 PTA, $50.9 million cume
10. Fool's Gold (Warner Bros.) — $850,000- $366 PTA, $60.8 million cume
11. NEW Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day (Focus) — $645,000, $1,200 PTA, $645,000
12. Penelope (Summit) — $640,000, $530 PTA, $5.2 million cume
13. Juno (Fox Searchlight) — $600,000, $444 PTA, $136.5 million cume
14. Definitely, Maybe (Universal) — $550,000, $353 PTA, $28.2 million cume
15. No Country For Old Men (Miramax) — $360,000, $300 PTA, $71.4M
* There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) — $180,000, $280 PTA, $38.2 million cume
* In Bruges (Focus) — $145,000, $644 PTA, $4.1 million cume
* The Counterfeiters (Sony Classics) — $70,000, $2,917 PTA, $466,000
* The Band's Visit (Sony Classics) — $47,000, $1,044 PTA, $830,000 cume
* NEW CJ7 (Sony Classics) — $12,654, $666 PTA, $12,654 cume
* NEW Married Life (Sony Classics) — $10,485, $1,165 PTA, $10,485 cume
* NEW Girls Rock (Shadow Distribution) — $9,422, $1,346 PTA, $9,422 cume
* NEW Black & White (Eros) — $8,970, $299 PTA, $8,970 cume
* NEW Snow Angels (Warner Independent) — $4,196, $2,098 PTA, $4,196 cume
* NEW Bar Starz (Slowhand Releasing) — $3,696, $84 PTA, $3,696 cume
* NEW Paranoid Park (IFC Films) — $2,678, $1,339 PTA, $2,678 cume
* NEW Last Stop for Paul (Independent) — $2,654, $1,327 PTA, $2,654 cume
EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW 10,000 B.C. (Warner Bros.) — $33.14 million, $9,721 PTA, $33.14 million cume
2. NEW College Road Trip (Disney) — $12.5 million, $4,619 PTA, $12.5 million cume
3. Vantage Point (Sony) — $8.1 million, $2,561 PTA, $52.2 million cume
4. Semi-Pro (New Line) — $6 million, $1,922 PTA, $24.9 million cume
5. The Spiderwick Chronicles (Paramount) — $5.06 million, $1,562 PTA, $61.9 million cume
6. NEW The Bank Job (Lionsgate), $4.7 million, $2,932 PTA, $4.7 million cume
7. Jumper (20th Century Fox) — $3.92 million, $1,532 PTA, $72.7 million cume
8. The Other Boleyn Girl (Sony) — $3.86 million, $3,311 PTA, $14.4 million cume
9. Step Up 2 the Streets (Disney) — $3.33 million, $1,481 PTA, $53.2 million cume
10. Fool's Gold (Warner Bros.) — $2.89M- $1,245 PTA, $62.9 million cume
11. NEW Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day (Focus) — $2.35 million, $4,400 PTA, $2.35M
12. Penelope (Summit) — $2.24 million, $1,856 PTA, $6.8 million cume
13. Juno (Fox Searchlight) — $2.16 million, $1,600 PTA, $138.1 million cume
14. Definitely, Maybe (Universal) — $1.84 million, $1,184 PTA, $29.5 million cume
15. No Country For Old Men (Miramax) — $1.38 million, $1,154 PTA, $72.4M
* There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage) — $720,000, $1,120 PTA, $38.8 million cume
* In Bruges (Focus) — $570,000, $2,533 PTA, $4.5 million cume
* The Counterfeiters (Sony Classics) — $300,000, $12,500 PTA, $696,000
* The Band's Visit (Sony Classics) — $208,000, $4,622 PTA, $991,000 cume
* NEW CJ7 (Sony Classics) — $48,000, $2,526 PTA, $48,000 cume
* NEW Married Life (Sony Classics) — $40,000, $4,444 PTA, $40,000 cume
* NEW Girls Rock (Shadow Distribution) — $33,000, $4,714 PTA, $33,000 cume
* NEW Black & White (Eros) — $32,000, $1,067 PTA, $32,000 cume
* NEW Snow Angels (Warner Independent) — $16,000, $8,000 PTA, $16,000 cume
* NEW Bar Starz (Slowhand Releasing) — $11,000, $250 PTA, $11,000 cume
* NEW Paranoid Park (IFC Films) — $10,000, $5,000 PTA, $10,000 cume
* NEW Last Stop for Paul (Independent) — $7,500, $3,750 PTA, $7,500 cume
Mase, glad to see you weren't deterred by the bogus cease and desist last week.
As for 10,000B.C, I'd say its gross is far from disappointing. Most people were expecting Semi-Pro Mark II but 10,000 B.C has done ok I reckon.
Posted by: annyonggob888 | March 08, 2008 at 04:08 AM
10,000 BC didn't preform that badly. That was pretty much in line with the expectations. I don;t think anyone was expecting it to live up to 300.
Posted by: Ian | March 08, 2008 at 04:13 AM
There's no way "Snow Angels" and "Paranoid Park" are going to be #3 and #4 in PTA, (dis)respectively. Are you kidding? I want to collectively slap all New Yorkers for not seeing these films in release there and presumably (by the numbers) watching "The Counterfeiters" and "10,000 B.C." How 'bout you do what everyone else is doing on wait for DVD for "The Counterfeiters" and avoid "10,000 B.C." ("Apocalypto 2").
Posted by: friskytiger81 | March 08, 2008 at 06:20 AM
Gus Van Sant has never been a big draw to theaters, just check the BO Mojo site. No surprise there, especially since Park looked like a horribly boring movie.
As for 10,000, just a case of bored 13-16 year-olds finally having a movie to watch.
Posted by: apollokthx | March 08, 2008 at 06:36 AM
Hey all,
Gus Van Sant got a nice Saturday boost. I'm anticipating that the final PTA Top 5 will go in this order:
Counterfeiters
10,000 BC
Snow Angels
Paranoid Park
The Band's Visit
As for 10,000 BC, the number is so-so. I don't think there will be legs on this wooly mammoth.
Mase
Posted by: Steve Mason | March 08, 2008 at 11:59 PM
Mase, why you are disappointed with 10,000 B.C. numbers.I think comparing it to 300 is not fair.It was never going to open like 300.It have opened on the lines of expectations though this won't have legs.
Posted by: brisky | March 09, 2008 at 01:01 AM
Mase,
I'm always fascinated by the numbers and love reading your take. My question, is there a place to come up with Canadian numbers. I stumble across them sometimes online, but as yet have no "one place to go." For example, went out to both Bank Job and 10 000 BC last night. Bank Job was packed while 10 000 BC was only half filled. Could have been the snow storm, but I always wonder, we still have a very strong connection with England. I'd love to know just how our viewing habits differ from yours, if in fact they do. Any help you could give me here would be appreciated. Thanks.
Posted by: Craig | March 09, 2008 at 07:41 AM
Each week, the Sunday Toronto Star has the Canadian box office figures.
Posted by: themutilator | March 09, 2008 at 10:35 AM
Box office mojo is showing a PTA victory for Paranoid Park at 15,000. 10,000 BC in second, Counterfeiters, and then Snow Angels
Posted by: aadams | March 09, 2008 at 02:18 PM
I think College Road Trip could be the 5th PTA for this weekend- it's neck and neck with The Band's Visit right now.
Posted by: matt | March 09, 2008 at 05:00 PM
Bank Job's IMDB rating's all the way up to 7.8, but College Road Trip's all the way down to 3.4, so I'm really glad I shied away from it. Box Office Mojo just declared Paranoid Park #1 for PTA, then B.C, It Always Rains On Sunday, Snow Angels, and The Counterfeiters as #5.
College Road Trip came it at a semi-poor #7. Kind of a Disney curse for anyone who has it in their Ultimate slate.
Posted by: amy | March 10, 2008 at 05:06 PM